Border between Russia and Finland may have "nuclear missiles"experts point out

On the day that the President and Prime Minister of Finland announced that they are officially in favor of joining NATO, the TSF heard two experts to anticipate the scenarios and the effects that these entries can provoke. There are two points that unite them – Russia is likely to increase its military strength along the border it has with Finland – and they rule out the use of nuclear weapons by Moscow. Rather, they anticipate a relocation to the border with Finland.

The former director of the European Union’s security studies institute says that this accession may increase tension with Russia, but on the other hand, increase European security, especially in Finland and Sweden. Álvaro Vasconcelos anticipates that the “probability of Europe having to get involved in a war, which happens due to an unexpected escalation of the war in Ukraine, is much lower”. The geostrategic expert foresees an increase in tension between the West and Russia, with this double entry into the Atlantic alliance.

But this will be an increase in tension that, according to Álvaro Vasconcelos, will not involve nuclear weapons. “Russia invaded Ukraine, pointed nuclear weapons at the West, and used nuclear blackmail, but they know that is not credible. Nobody expects Russia to start a nuclear war that would self-destruct.” The specialist shoots: “That would be suicide.”

Already this Thursday, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that it would take “technical-military” measures if Finland and Sweden joined NATO. Álvaro Vasconcelos says that one of the measures could involve placing nuclear weapons close to the more than 1000 km border he shares with Finland. An action that “would increase Finland’s sense of vulnerability to the Russian threat.

On the other hand, the also expert in geopolitics, says that Russia could “fly over” or “make naval maneuvers” with greater intensity in areas of Swedish or Finnish domain. “It would be a kind of provocation, to create tension and fear, [mostrando] that the entrance [de Suécia e Finlândia na NATO] was contrary to security interests [russos].

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