The PT candidate for the government of Piauí, Rafael Fonteles, will have a complicated mission to keep the state on the left, according to a research conclusion released this Tuesday, 21, by the Real Time Big Data institute. Backed by former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and by former governor Wellington Dias (PT), Fonteles appears with 26% of voting intentions, against 39% of the poll leader, Silvio Mendes (Union Brazil)supported by the Minister of the Civil House, Ciro Nogueira (PP-PI). The margin of error is plus or minus three points.
Fonteles is popularly known in Piauí as “Lula’s boy” because the former president has known him since he was a child, due to the long-standing relationship he has with his father, former federal deputy Nazareno Fonteles (PT-PI). At 37 years old, Rafael is a university professor of economics and rose to prominence as Secretary of Finance during the Dias administration. This is the first time he will run for political office.
Despite his little experience, Fonteles added support in the state — the number of local leaders from PTB, PP, PL and Republicans reaches more than a dozen, parties that are part of the president’s support base nationally. Jair Bolsonaro (PL), who left the subtitles to board the PT’s ticket from Piauí. Furthermore, it counts the fact that Lula has majority support in Piauí and the left has ruled the state since 2003.
Therefore, the scenario in which Fonteles loses to Silvio Mendes is surprising. The PT also has the highest rejection, according to Real Time Big Data, with 26% — against 19% for Mendes — and the government of Regina Sousa, who succeeded Dias, is disapproved by 40% of the electorate.
Mendes, in turn, has the support of Senator Ciro Nogueira (PP), the main pillar of antipetismo in the state. Nogueira’s support comes regardless of the Bolsonaro government’s candidate — of which the senator is Chief Minister of the Civil House — in the state, the Major Diego Melo (PL), which scores just 4% in the same survey. In interviews, Mendes has already criticized Fonteles for trying to nationalize the Piauí election, to which the PT reacts by reaffirming his position: “I belong to the Lula and Wellington Dias team”.
The candidates close the main scenario of the survey Gessy Fonseca (PSC) and Alessander Mendes (We Can)with 2%; Wallace Miranda (Ninth), Ravenna Castro (PMN) and Madalena Nunes (PSOL), with 1%; and Venício do Ó (PTB), Gustavo Henrique (Patriot) and Geraldo Carvalho (PSTU), which did not score. There are 11% white and null and 13% who do not know or did not respond.
While the PT has difficulties in government, the same survey shows an opposite scenario in the fight for a seat in the Senate. Former PT governor Wellington Dias appears as a favorite, scoring around 38%, while his main opponent, the former state representative Joel Rodrigues (PP)supported by Ciro Nogueira, has 22%.
complete the dispute Fábio Serbia (We can)with 4%, Professor Ajosé (PMN)with 3%, and Neil Lopes (PTB), with 1%. There are 14% white and null and 18% who do not know or did not respond.
The Real Time Big Data institute heard 1,500 voters between June 18 and 20, and registered the survey with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under the number PI-00421/2022.