CEP: Supporters of rejection are more pessimistic about the scenario for the economy

Less than three months remain for the exit plebiscite, in which the options “I approve” and “reject” a new Constitution will be put to the polls.

Although the campaign for the promotion of both options has not yet started, it is already a habit that the alternatives raise their messages and strong ideas on social networks.

Both perspectives have behind them a vision of the economic situation of the country and of their own pockets, both now and in the next twelve months.

The April-May survey conducted by the Center for Public Studies (CEP) shows that, whose database provides a more detailed view of the perspectives of those who opt for one option or another.

Thus, when asked how they would rate the country’s current economic situation, the supporters of “rejection” are more pessimistic, with 68% rating it as “very bad” or “bad.”

That contrasts with 46% of those who indicate that they will vote “I approve” in September, who define the panorama as “very bad” or “bad”. The same proportion of this segment does not consider “neither good nor bad” the current economy.

Where perceptions definitely distance themselves is when faced with the question about the economic context of the country in a period of 12 months: while 65% of voters for “rejection” believe that “it will get worse”, only 21% of those who will vote “approve ” thinks similar. In fact, 35% of those who are inclined towards the latter path believe that the scenario will improve in a year’s time, versus just 4% among the followers of “rejection”.

Now, in the consultation on the current perception of the personal economy, there are no major differences between the two voters: the majority qualifies it as “neither good nor bad” (see graphs).

But the gaps widen again in the response regarding the expectation of the personal pocket in a year’s time: 42% of the voters “I approve” anticipate that it will be better in the future, versus 17% who respond the same and will vote “rejection”. On the contrary, 34% of those who will disapprove of a new Magna Carta believe that their personal economic situation will be “much worse” or “worse” in a year, versus 13% of the “I approve” option who affirm the same.

A similar dynamic is evident in the consultation on the moment of the country: 98% of those who will reject the new Constitution believe that the country is “stagnant” or “in decline”, which reaches 63% among the supporters of a new charter fundamental.

In this last segment, the 36% who consider that Chile is “progressing” stands out, versus the 2% who respond the same among those in favor of “rejection”.

And the undecided?

The great doubt facing the electoral day of September 4 is the proportion of people who until now have not defined an option against the constitutional draft.

In fact, the CEP survey shows that 27% of those interviewed would be determined to vote “rejection”, 25% would lean towards “approval” and 37% have not yet resolved how they will vote in the plebiscite.

The database reveals that 59% of the undecided rate the country’s current economic situation as “very bad” or “bad”, while 42% of this segment thinks that the country’s economic outlook will “worse” in the coming years. twelve months.

Going into detail about the situation of the personal economy, the majority (48%) of those who do not yet know which option they will vote for in the exit plebiscite describe it as “neither good nor bad”, while 51% think that a year term, the scenario for your pocket will be “the same” as it is today.

55% of the undecided believe that Chile is “stagnant” at the moment, while 30% think that the country is in “decline”.

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