Lula leads Bolsonaro in the ballot in Brazil, according to a study

A new survey on the intention to vote of the Brazilian electorate ahead of the presidential elections next October, the results of which were released this Wednesday, shows that former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva widens his advantage over the candidate and current president Jair Bolsonaro in the eventual scenario of a ballot.


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According to the study by the company PoderData, the founder of the Workers’ Party mobilizes 52 percent of the vote while the far-right president obtains 35 percent.

The gap is 17 percentage points. According to local media, this is the first time in four months that the difference between Lula and Bolsonaro grows outside the margin of error of 2 points.

In mid-February, this same survey showed that Lula had 50 percent of the intentions and Bolsonaro 35. Last April, two surveys revealed that there was a difference of 9 percentage points.

The previous survey, applied at the beginning of June, showed that at that time only a 10-point difference separated them, but from then on Bolsonaro has been losing ground.

Among other data of interest, the PoderData study confirms that Lula would prevail over Bolsonaro in the first round of the elections, with 44 percent of the vote versus 34 percent, respectively.

This measurement showed that the candidates Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labor Party, PDT) followed with 6 percent, and André Janones (Avante) with 2 percent.

According to PoderData, Simone Tebet (Brazilian Democratic Movement, MDB), Luciano Bivar (União Brasil) and José Maria Eymael (Christian Democracy, DC) follow with 1 percent each.

PoderData is a company of the group Poder360 Jornalismo. This survey was conducted from June 19 to 21. The data was collected through 3,000 telephone interviews, carried out in 302 municipalities of the 27 federal states. The margin of error is 2 percentage points.

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