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The FIFA World Cup kicks off this week in Qatar. The tournament will start on November 20 and end on December 18. Which team is considered the favorite of the world championship according to supercomputers and what are the chances of other teams winning – in the material “RBC Sport”

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Brazilians go for the sixth World Cup

Brazilian soccer players

Brazilian soccer players

(Photo: Getty Images)

Opta, the world’s leading football statistics analytics company, conducted a study using a supercomputer endowed with artificial intelligence.

Opta presented the probability of winning each of the 32 teams. Winning percentages will change in real time throughout the tournament.

According to Opta’s analysis, the Brazilian national team became the favorite in the main tournament of the year. The chances of the team winning the final were 15.8%. The second and third places are occupied by Argentina and France, respectively, with a small margin from each other (3.2%). The probability of winning for the Argentines is 12.6%, and for the French – 12.2%.

The Brazilians will face Serbia, Switzerland and Cameroon in the group stage of the World Cup.

According to the same indicator, the teams of Saudi Arabia and Costa Rica turned out to be outsiders with zero probability of winning.

According to the American analytical company Gracenote, the Brazilian team is also considered the favorite of the World Cup. The probability of her victory is estimated at 20%. The list of the main favorites of the tournament also includes the national teams of Argentina (16%), Spain and the Netherlands (both 7%).

The Gracenote supercomputer also simulated the tournament bracket, according to which the teams of Brazil and Argentina are very likely to meet in the semi-finals of the tournament.

Argentina and Brazil have never met in a World Cup semi-final before. The teams first crossed paths at the 1974 World Cup. The teams met in Group A, the Brazilians celebrated the victory with a score of 2:1. Later, the teams competed twice more for an exit from the same group (1978, 1982). The match at the 1978 World Cup ended in a goalless draw, and at the 1982 World Cup, the Brazilians again beat their geographical neighbors with a score of 3: 1.

The last meeting of the teams took place at the 1990 championship, the Argentines won thanks to the only ball from Claudio Canigi after Diego Maradona’s pass.

According to the simulated grid, we are also waiting for a repetition of the semi-finals of the 2018 World Cup in Russia, France – Belgium. But this time, it is the Belgians who will go to the final, where they will play with Brazil.

Analytical portal Sofascore narrowly favored the Brazilian national team at the World Cup in Qatar. The top three favorites also included the teams of Argentina and France.

Final: Messi vs Ronaldo

Lionel Messi 

Lionel Messi

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At the same time, the supercomputer of the consulting company BCA Research modeled the victory of the Argentina national team led by Lionel Messi. And in the final, the Argentines will meet with Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal and win on penalties. In addition, according to BCA Research, the England team should reach the semi-finals of the world championship in Qatar.

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Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo

BCA Research’s analysis was based on data from the FIFA computer game, as well as match statistics from the last four World Cups.

The Argentina national team in the group stage of the tournament will face the teams of Poland, Saudi Arabia and Mexico.

The victory of the founders of football

England national football team

England national football team

(Photo: Getty Images)

Leading insurance market Lloyd’s of London also predicted a possible World Cup winner. How informs Forbes magazine, the company’s research was based on the insured value of each player and is made up of wages, sponsorship contracts and age.

At the 2022 World Cup, the England team, which the market has valued at a record $3.74 billion, can expect to win. Brazil, which is valued at $3.02 billion, will be its rival. However, the French team, whose total value was $3.14 billion , can also claim victory.

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Photo: Dua Lipa's social networks

Thanks to a non-trivial method, Lloyd’s of London was able to choose the right winner in 2014 and 2018.

In the group stage of the World Cup, the England team will meet with the teams of Iran, the USA and Wales.

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