The coronavirus epidemic in Belgium is starting to circulate again, especially in Flanders, according to the update of the table from the public health institute Sciensano.
The number of cases detected has thus increased by 10% at the country level, but this increase is even more marked in certain provinces: in Limbourg et en West Flanders (where the circulation had fallen very low), the increase is respectively 52,3% and of 43%. She is from 21% on East Flanders and of 18% To Antwerp.
In Wallonia, there is also a significant increase in the province of Luxembourg (+33%) and you Walloon Brabant (+30%).
This rise in cases is not yet marked by an increase in hospital admissions, on the contrary: this average is even slightly lower (-6% over a week). And this while it is in the 50-80 age group that the increase in cases is most marked.
Two complementary hypotheses can explain it:
- a time lag: there is often a lag between the increase in cases and that in hospitalizations. In the province ofAntwerp, where cases have started to rise for at least two weeks, admissions are in 24% increase over a week.
- an increase in the best protected regions: in September, the increase in cases was especially visible in less vaccinated areas, Brussels and to Liège. In these areas, the number of cases detected continues to decrease. The areas where it is currently rising are among the most vaccinated on the contrary. We can therefore think that the vaccine protects only partially against transmission, but more importantly against severe cases.
The consolidated figures in Sciensano’s table
Note: these figures are taken from updated data published by Sciensano in open data and put in table form here.
Cases detected¹ : between 3/10 and 9/10, 2095 new coronavirus infections were detected on average every day. This is an increase of 10% from the previous week.
Tests : between 3/10 and 9/10, an average of 44.469 tests were performed daily, a total down 0% from the previous week.
Admissions : they amount on average to 56,1 between 6/10 and 12/10. This is a decrease of 6% compared to the previous week.
Hospitalized people² : 767 patients are currently hospitalized in connection with Covid-19, including 200 patients treated in intensive care.
Positivity rate³ : based on the test results obtained between 3/10 and 9/10, it is 5,1%, up 0.4% from last week.
Reproduction rate : calculated on the basis of changes in admissions, the Rt of the coronavirus today stands at 0,98. When it is greater than 1, it means that the transmission of the virus is accelerating.
Death : between 3/10 and 9/10, 9,6 people have died from the virus on average. Since the start of the epidemic, 25,713 people have died from the coronavirus.
¹ The cases detected are the number of patients for whom a positive test has confirmed the presence of the virus. The date that is considered is the date of the diagnosis, not the test result. Data is considered consolidated after 4 days. The number of cases may depend in part on the testing strategy: if we test more systematically, we also detect more cases.
² Hospitalized patients include patients who have already been hospitalized for another reason and who have tested positive.
³ The positivity rate is the number of positive tests compared to the number of tests performed. The same person can be tested several times. It also depends on the testing strategy: if we do not test enough, the positivity rate will be higher.